In the Sept. 15 issue of Marketing News, columnist Don E. Schultz posed the question, "Is ROI Stuff and Nonsense?"
The question, and Don's thinking on the matter, has inspired active debates between Don and readers who have responded to him directly. Don and readers have agreed to let us post their exchanges here on the MN blog. After reading the article and the exchanges, where do you come down on the debate?
From Reader TJ Eveland:
Professor Schultz:
I really enjoyed your article in the Marketing News (AMA) magazine (9/15/08, P21). Your last paragraph asks for feedback and I thought I would comment. It seems straight forward but may be the reason financial professionals brought up your pursuit a rainbow.
ROI vs. allocation is a classic chicken vs. the egg scenario. ROI should define, and then refine, your allocation and in turn allocation will boost or lower total ROI. The key is breaking down ROI to a cost driver level. When separated into cost drivers (communication mediums, marketing channels etc.) a review of the marketing budget shows more insight into the return of your investment into each driver. Very similar to analyzing a retirement account, adjustments need to be made to boost aggregate returns in successful investments (effective mediums) and cut losses in those not returning your desired benchmark (ineffective mediums).
If these steps were followed, each driver is seen as its own mini-business and the ROI can be objectively calculated and ranked against other drivers. As money moves up the descending chain of drivers (mediums) the weighted average ROI for the overall marketing budget will rise until the point of diminishing marginal return is reached for a specific driver.
Of course, care should be kept to analyze the allocations on a regular basis and a realistic weighted average ROI benchmark should allow for experimental projects that will create a loss from time to time. Common sense will also need to be employed about making drastic changes the first time this is reviewed (dont invest 100% of your budget into the most effective medium, as the proper mix will drive the ROI). Using this method of adjust, analyze, repeat will keep marketing managers in tune with medium effectiveness, true ROI and will allow for allocation to be driven by real data, rather than status quo.
Thanks again for the article!
TJ Eveland, MBA
Manager of Student Recruitment
Ohio University- Chillicothe
Response from Don E. Schultz:
Dear Mr. Eveland:
Thank you for your very thoughtful note on my recent MARKETING NEWS column. You have added much to the discussion.
My point in the column is that one must start with the customer, not the marketer's view. That is, it is what the consumer takes in, processes and uses which matters in marketing communication, i.e., their consumption of the media form. If there is no consumer consumption, i.e., they don't use or view or believe in that medium, it really makes no difference what type of ROI measures the marketer employs. Thus, it is the consumer that drives ROI, not the marketer. Perhaps I didn't make that point clear in the column. That's why I took position I did.
You are right when you argue for a cost driver analysis to understand ROI from an expenditure level. What I am proposing is, however, quite different. I will add more to this discussion in future columns.
Thanks again for your comments and feedback. It is always good to know there are readers who are interested and participating in my attempted dialog.
Response from TJ Eveland:
Thanks for the reply Don, please be sure to let me know of any future publications.
If I understand correctly, your argument is that a calculation could show unjustifiedROI as the consumer would have purchased the item (or not) given any level of marketing investment. The ROI could show a return not truly caused by the investment. Does this sound correct?
You will have to excuse my first interpretation. Along with recruiting and marketing, I teach accounting and am still breaking my mold of everything can be calculated and facts are facts. This is why I am so interested in your critique of the ROI (it seems to be an easy sell to budget managers!).
Thanks for any input.
Response from Don E. Schultz:
Mr. Eveland:
I apparently did not make myself clear in my response to your inquiry.
My basic premise is that presently, we don't know what marketing or promotional forms target customers use. We know what we send out but we don't know if they receive, access or even pay any attention to them. We assume that sending them out is the same thing as the consumer taking them in. It's not.
Thus, the work that needs to be done is on the promotional consumption end of the approach. If we know what promotional activities consumers access, take in and use, we could do a much better job of allocating our resources, i.e., send them things they use or consumer or access. If we did that, ROI would almost have to improve.
Hope this helps.